Open AccessDISINTERMEDIASI FUNGSI PERBANKAN DI INDONESIA PASCA KRISIS 1997 : Faktor Permintaan Atau Penawaran Kredit, Sebuah Pendekatan Dengan Model Disequilibrium
Author(s) -
Harmanta Harmanta,
Mahyus Ekananda
Publication year - 2007
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.505
H-Index - 4
ISSN - 2460-9196
DOI - 10.21098/bemp.v8i1.128
Subject(s) - disequilibrium , economics , post keynesian economics , credit crunch , monetary economics , econometrics , financial system , keynesian economics , medicine , ophthalmology
The goal of this paper is to analyze the determinants of bank credit declining, whether is dominated by the supply or the credit demand, post the financial crisis in Indonesia. This paper is a sort of New Keynesian approach, which pre assume the imperfectness of the credit market and hence create disequilibrium.Using the switching regression model and Maximum Likelihood Estimation to determine the probability of supply or demand determination, the result shows the existence of excess demand of credit during the crisis period, 1997/ 1998, confirming the credit crunch situation. After the crisis, the condition is reversed, where the credit supply is higher than the credit demand. The two findings implicitely shows the inflexibility of interest rate to equalize the credit market.JEL: D43, D82, E44, E51Keywords : Disintermediasi, kredit, disequilibrium, maximum likelihood, persamaan simultan, switching regression