Open AccessAPAKAH PERKEMBANGAN FINANSIAL MEREDAM ATAU MEMPERBESAR DAMPAK SUATU KEJUTAN?
Author(s) -
Meily Ika Permata,
Ibrahim Ibrahim,
Hidayah Dhini Ari
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
deleted journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.505
H-Index - 4
ISSN - 1410-8046
DOI - 10.21098/bemp.v14i2.459
Subject(s) - shock (circulatory) , volatility (finance) , economics , monetary economics , vector autoregression , financial system , econometrics , macroeconomics , medicine
This paper analyzes the role of financial development on economic output in Indonesia. Using vector autoregressive method, the results confirm the positive impact of financial development on output growth. The interaction between the financial development and the shock either in financial or real sector shows that the financial development has a positive role to dampen the negative impact of the shock on the output growth, while strengthen the positive one. Another variable on the model, which significantly affect the output growth are excess money, term of trade, and the price. Compare to these variables, the marginal effect of financial development on output is smaller. JEL Classification : E44, O16Keywords : Financial development, shock, output volatility, VAR