Open AccessRapid Global Exposure Assessment for Extreme River Flood Risk Under Climate Change
Author(s) -
Youngjoo Kwak,
Yoichi Iwami
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
journal of disaster research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.332
H-Index - 18
eISSN - 1883-8030
pISSN - 1881-2473
DOI - 10.20965/jdr.2016.p1128
Subject(s) - flood myth , environmental science , climate change , 100 year flood , flood risk assessment , hazard , risk assessment , hydrology (agriculture) , climatology , global warming , scale (ratio) , water resource management , physical geography , geography , geology , cartography , computer science , oceanography , chemistry , computer security , geotechnical engineering , archaeology , organic chemistry
Globally, large-scale floods are one of the most serious disasters, considering increased frequency and intensity of heavy rainfall. This is not only a domestic problem but also an international water issue related to transboundary rivers in terms of global river flood risk assessment. The purpose of this study is to propose a rapid flood hazard model as a methodological possibility to be used on a global scale, which uses flood inundation depth and works reasonably despite low data availability. The method is designed to effectively simplify complexities involving hydrological and topographical variables in a flood risk-prone area when applied in an integrated global flood risk assessment framework. The model was used to evaluate flood hazard and exposure through pixel-based comparison in the case of extreme flood events caused by an annual maximum daily river discharge of 1/50 probability of occurrence under the condition of climate change between two periods, Present (daily data from 1980 to 2004) and Future (daily data from 2075 to 2099). As preliminary results, the maximum potential extent of inundation area and the maximum number of affected people show an upward trend in Present and Future.