Open AccessAdapting the Demographic Transition in Preparation for the Tokai-Tonankai-Nankai Earthquake
Author(s) -
Haili Chen,
Norio Maki,
H. Hayashi
Publication year - 2010
Publication title -
journal of disaster research
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.332
H-Index - 18
eISSN - 1883-8030
pISSN - 1881-2473
DOI - 10.20965/jdr.2010.p0666
Subject(s) - context (archaeology) , vulnerability (computing) , resilience (materials science) , induced seismicity , population , seismology , geography , geology , environmental health , computer science , computer security , medicine , physics , archaeology , thermodynamics
Demographic transition has been widely discussed but rarely examined in the disaster research context. With the anticipated Tokai-Tonankai-Nankai Earthquake becoming an issue, we are developing adaptation strategies targeting enhancing resilience against and reducing vulnerability to this potential threat. Using mesh-based population estimation in cohort component analysis, we are characterizing the current and 2030 populations into sustainable, dependent, and marginal demographic transition patterns to discuss the impact of demographic transition. Specific to each area of certain demographic transition and seismicity exposure, and wide-area management, we suggest 4 adaptation strategies - business continuity planning, regional vitalization, community-capability reinforcement, and wide-area management - for improving current management.