Open AccessDevelopment of a model for the spread of COVID-19 in urban agglomerations
Author(s) -
Roman Lvovich Ponomarev,
Vladimir Anatolievich Sudakov,
Tatiana Vladimirovna Sivakova,
A.R. Ententeev,
Vladimir Ivanovich Eskin
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
preprint/preprinty ipm im. m.v. keldyša
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2071-2901
pISSN - 2071-2898
DOI - 10.20948/prepr-2021-74
Subject(s) - covid-19 , surprise , pandemic , outbreak , urban agglomeration , humanity , virology , geography , development economics , economic geography , political science , biology , economics , medicine , sociology , infectious disease (medical specialty) , disease , communication , pathology , law
The outbreak of the coronavirus infection COVID-19 in early 2020 caught most countries of the world by surprise. Humanity has suffered colossal economic and human losses due to the inability of health systems to cope with the rapidly spreading virus. This pandemic is not the first in history, however, despite this, the methods of combating the spread of the virus were belated and ineffective. This work is devoted to the development of a model for the spread of viral diseases using the example of COVID-19 in order to predict the scale of future epidemics and, as a result, select successful methods of combating them. To conclude a conclusion about the effectiveness of the application of this technology, a simulation model of the corresponding process is being developed.