Open AccessMulti-regional model of global dynamics
Author(s) -
Sergei Anatolievich Makhov
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
preprint/preprinty ipm im. m.v. keldyša
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 2071-2901
pISSN - 2071-2898
DOI - 10.20948/prepr-2021-102
Subject(s) - dynamics (music) , macro , differential (mechanical device) , monotonic function , econometrics , economic geography , economics , computer science , mathematics , physics , mathematical analysis , acoustics , thermodynamics , programming language
A dynamic macro model of world dynamics has been developed. In the model, the world is divided into 19 regions. The internal development of the regions is described by differential type equations for demographic and economic indicators. Interregional interactions represent the trade flows from region to region and are described by the trade submodel. Calculations show that the model satisfactorily approximates the dynamics of monotonic indicators. The forecast of regional development and global dynamics up to 2040 is constructed.