EXTINCTION THRESHOLDS AND DISRUPTED PLANT–POLLINATOR INTERACTIONS IN FRAGMENTED PLANT POPULATIONS

In order to estimate how much population extinction risk may be affected by local fragmentation, population viability analyses were performed in six populations of the endangered grassland herb Gentianella campestris in Sweden. The populations had been experimentally reintroduced to grasslands that were locally fragmented by juniper shrubs. The sites represented three sizes of grassland and two levels of grassland abundance in the landscape. Five years' demographic data were evaluated in a stochastic matrix population model, and studies of seed set, pollinator abundance, and inbreeding depression were performed in order to examine possible links between population viability and pollination. In all six sites, plants with reduced capacity of self‐pollination (due to herkogamy) showed strongly reduced population viability in locally fragmented grassland habit, with pronounced extinction thresholds at certain levels of local fragmentation. Population viability was reduced because of inbreeding depression and reduced seed production in combination, both caused by pollinator deficit in locally fragmented grasslands. Plants with high selfing capacity had low population viability over the entire local fragmentation gradients. Selfing yielded high seed set in the absence of pollinators and was advantageous in fragmented parts of the grasslands. However, selfing had negative effects in nonfragmented parts of the grasslands, because it decreased the chances of cross‐pollination and because selfed progeny had reduced fitness compared to outcrossed offspring. A comparison among the six sites indicated that the negative effects of local fragmentation were amplified by reduced size of the grassland sites and by reduced abundance of grassland habitat in the landscape. To my knowledge, this is the first quantitative estimate of increased extinction risk in fragmented plant populations.