Open AccessTransformation of the socio‐ecological situation relating to HIV in the North Caucasus Federal District under the influence of external migration
Author(s) -
Ruslan V. Dmitriev
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
ûg rossii: èkologiâ, razvitie
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.224
H-Index - 4
eISSN - 2413-0958
pISSN - 1992-1098
DOI - 10.18470/1992-1098-2019-3-131-137
Subject(s) - geography , central asia , cluster (spacecraft) , socioeconomics , human immunodeficiency virus (hiv) , environmental protection , physical geography , medicine , family medicine , sociology , computer science , programming language
Aim. The aim of the study is to identify the degree of external threat relating to the spread of HIV infection by migrants in the North Caucasus Federal District of Russia. Material and Methods. Systemic, comparative geographical, geographic and statistical research methods were applied, as well as MS Excel and SPSS Statistics software packages. The database was created for the periods 1997‐2000, 2003‐2006, 2007‐2010 and 2011‐2015. Four main (aggregated) groups of indicators were selected. Results . A hierarchical cluster analysis was undertaken on groups of indicators (the current situation in states studied regarding the spread of HIV, the flow of migrants from these states to the North Caucasus Federal District as a whole and its differentiation according to chronological and chorological characteristics) which made it possible to aggregate the countries of Asia and Africa into four groups according to threat level of the spread of HIV infection for the North Caucasus Federal District: (1) extremely high (post‐Soviet states of the Caucasus and Central Asia [excepting Turkmenistan]); (2) high (states of the eastern Mediterranean [excepting Lebanon], as well as Afghanistan and Turkmenistan); (3) countries of a medium degree of threat (most of the countries of sub‐Saharan Africa, Southeast Asia [except Vietnam, Laos, Cambodia, the Philippines and Brunei], as well as Pakistan); (4) low (all states). Conclusion . Despite the greater spread of HIV in African states compared with Asian states, it is the latter ‐ especially those formerly part of the USSR ‐ that pose the greatest threat to the North Caucasus Federal District with regard to the spread of HIV by migrants. Almost every state of origin of the majority of migrants infected with HIV has “its own” preferred destination in the North Caucasus Federal District, to which their inflows are oriented.