Open AccessEDP scale analysis based on temperature
Author(s) -
Xinyan Li
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
xue xi yu jiao yu
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
ISSN - 2251-2802
DOI - 10.18282/l-e.v9i4.1696
Subject(s) - global warming , climate change , scale (ratio) , climatology , natural disaster , environmental science , sea level , principal component analysis , altitude (triangle) , meteorology , computer science , geography , physical geography , oceanography , cartography , mathematics , geology , geometry , artificial intelligence
Since the beginning of the 21st century,the global climate change,especially the global warming,is becoming more and more serious.The global warming leads to the rise of sea level,making many small island countries at a low altitude in danger of vanishment.Firstly,we build an EDP formation model to predict which countries and how many people will have the risk of becoming EDP.We use principal component analysis to reveal that EDP is mainly caused by the rise of sea level.We choose a time series prediction algorithm,fbprophet to predict the trend of temperature change.Based on the rise of sea level,the size of EDP affected by natural disasters is roughly estimated.