Open AccessUrban Ecosystem Vulnerability Assessment of Support Climate-Resilient City Development
Author(s) -
Zipan Cai,
Jessica Page,
Vladimir Cvetković
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
urban planning
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.646
H-Index - 12
ISSN - 2183-7635
DOI - 10.17645/up.v6i3.4208
Subject(s) - geospatial analysis , environmental resource management , environmental planning , vulnerability (computing) , urban planning , urban resilience , urban ecosystem , vulnerability assessment , land use , sustainability , climate change , resilience (materials science) , geography , psychological resilience , computer science , environmental science , ecology , civil engineering , engineering , psychology , cartography , computer security , physics , psychotherapist , biology , thermodynamics
Climate change poses a threat to cities. Geospatial information and communication technology (Geo-ICT) assisted planning is increasingly being utilised to foster urban sustainability and adaptability to climate change. To fill the theoretical and practical gaps of urban adaptive planning and Geo-ICT implementation, this article presents an urban ecosystem vulnerability assessment approach using integrated socio-ecological modelling. The application of the Geo-ICT method is demonstrated in a specific case study of climate-resilient city development in Nanjing (China), aiming at helping city decision-makers understand the general geographic data processing and policy revision processes in response to hypothetical future disruptions and pressures on urban social, economic, and environmental systems. Ideally, the conceptual framework of the climate-resilient city transition proposed in this study effectively integrates the geographic data analysis, policy modification, and participatory planning. In the process of model building, we put forward the index system of urban ecosystem vulnerability assessment and use the assessment result as input data for the socio-ecological model. As a result, the model reveals the interaction processes of local land use, economy, and environment, further generating an evolving state of future land use in the studied city. The findings of this study demonstrate that socio-ecological modelling can provide guidance in adjusting the human-land interaction and climate-resilient city development from the perspective of macro policy. The decision support using urban ecosystem vulnerability assessment and quantitative system modelling can be useful for urban development under a variety of environmental change scenarios.