Open AccessScenarios for the future of scholarly communications
Author(s) -
Reed Elfenbein
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
insights
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.41
H-Index - 14
ISSN - 2048-7754
DOI - 10.1629/2048-7754.25.1.61
Subject(s) - futures contract , context (archaeology) , scholarly communication , key (lock) , scenario planning , process (computing) , computer science , management science , data science , knowledge management , process management , political science , business , engineering , marketing , publishing , geography , computer security , archaeology , finance , law , operating system
How might scholarly communication change in the future, given the shifting landscape and impact of technology and what would this mean for publishers and libraries? Within Wiley, scenario planning provides a framework for looking forward to identify critical uncertainties and model how those uncertainties could unfold, which provides context for decision making in the present as well as planning for the future. Four possible futures emphasizing different outcomes in scholar behavior related to the communication of research and content distribution models for scholarly works are briefly summarized and outline the potential impact on some of the key stakeholders. With this as context, possible strategic directions and some related questions for how publishers and libraries can remain relevant and successfully contribute to the future development of the scholarly communication process are put forward