Open AccessSimultaneous confidence intervals for all pairwise comparisons of the means of delta-lognormal distributions with application to rainfall data
Author(s) -
Patcharee Maneerat,
Sa-Aat Niwitpong,
Suparat Niwitpong
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
plos one
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.99
H-Index - 332
ISSN - 1932-6203
DOI - 10.1371/journal.pone.0253935
Subject(s) - statistics , confidence interval , pairwise comparison , log normal distribution , credible interval , landslide , mathematics , variogram , prediction interval , bayesian probability , computer science , algorithm , geology , geotechnical engineering , kriging
Natural disasters such as flooding and landslides are important unexpected events during the rainy season in Thailand, and how to direct action to avoid their impacts is the motivation behind this study. The differences between the means of natural rainfall datasets in different areas can be estimated using simultaneous confidence intervals (SCIs) for pairwise comparisons of the means of delta-lognormal distributions. Our proposed methods are based on a parametric bootstrap (PB), a fiducial generalized confidence interval (FGCI), the method of variance estimates recovery (MOVER), and Bayesian credible intervals based on mixed (BCI-M) and uniform (BCI-U) priors. Their coverage probabilities, lower and upper error probabilities, and relative average lengths were used to evaluate and compare their SCI performances through Monte Carlo simulation. The results show that BCI-U and PB work well in different situations, even with large differences in variancesσ j 2. All of the methods were applied to estimate pairwise differences between the means of natural rainfall data from five areas in Thailand during the rainy season to determine their abilities to predict occurrences of flooding and landslides.