Measuring Vote-Selling: Field Evidence from the Philippines
Author(s) -
Allen Hicken,
Stephen Leider,
Nico Ravanilla,
Dean Yang
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
american economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 16.936
H-Index - 297
eISSN - 1944-7981
pISSN - 0002-8282
DOI - 10.1257/aer.p20151033
Subject(s) - proxy (statistics) , economics , preference , measure (data warehouse) , econometrics , field (mathematics) , microeconomics , computer science , statistics , mathematics , database , pure mathematics
Using data from an anti-vote-buying field experiment we conducted in the Philippines, we report and validate a proxy measure for vote-selling. We demonstrate that our proxy measure, vote-switching, changes as expected with voter preferences and monetary offers from candidates. Voters are less likely to vote for someone different than their initial preference the larger the favorability rating difference between the preferred and alternative candidates. Similarly, vote-switching increases the more money the alternative candidate offers compared to the preferred candidates. We also describe the effects of the promise-based interventions on vote-switching, reported in full in a companion paper.
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