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Behavioral Equilibrium in Economies with Adverse Selection
Author(s) -
Ignacio Esponda
Publication year - 2008
Publication title -
american economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 16.936
H-Index - 297
eISSN - 1944-7981
pISSN - 0002-8282
DOI - 10.1257/aer.98.4.1269
Subject(s) - adverse selection , economics , equilibrium selection , selection (genetic algorithm) , microeconomics , mathematical economics , computer science , repeated game , game theory , artificial intelligence
I propose a new solution concept—behavioral equilibrium—to study environments with players who are naive, in the sense that they fail to account for the informational content of other players' actions. I apply the framework to certain adverse selection settings and show that, contrary to the existing literature, the adverse selection problem is exacerbated when naive players fail to account for selection. More generally, the main distinguishing feature of the framework is that, in equilibrium, beliefs about both fundamentals and strategies are jointly restricted. Consequently, whether a behavioral bias may arise or not is determined endogenously in equilibrium. (JEL C70, D82, D83)

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