An Empirical Model of the Medical Match
Author(s) -
Nikhil Agarwal
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
american economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 16.936
H-Index - 297
eISSN - 1944-7981
pISSN - 0002-8282
DOI - 10.1257/aer.20131006
Subject(s) - economics , matching (statistics) , counterfactual thinking , allegation , pairwise comparison , econometrics , salary , microeconomics , stability (learning theory) , product market , preference , product (mathematics) , statistics , mathematics , computer science , market economy , philosophy , geometry , epistemology , political science , law , incentive , machine learning
This paper develops a framework for estimating preferences in a many-to-one matching market using only observed matches. I use pairwise stability and a vertical preference restriction on one side to identify preferences on both sides of the market. Counterfactual simulations are used to analyze the antitrust allegation that the centralized medical residency match is responsible for salary depression. Due to residents' willingness to pay for desirable programs and capacity constraints, salaries in any competitive equilibrium would remain, on average, at least $23,000 below the marginal product of labor. Therefore, the match is not the likely cause of low salaries.
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