Macroeconomic Effects of Bankruptcy and Foreclosure Policies
Author(s) -
Kurt Mitman
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
american economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 16.936
H-Index - 297
eISSN - 1944-7981
pISSN - 0002-8282
DOI - 10.1257/aer.20120512
Subject(s) - foreclosure , bankruptcy , economics , consumer protection act , household debt , balance sheet , debt , monetary economics , loan to value ratio , point (geometry) , actuarial science , mortgage insurance , macroeconomics , finance , casualty insurance , insurance policy , geometry , mathematics
I study the implications of two major debt-relief policies in the United States: the Bankruptcy Abuse Prevention and Consumer Protection Act (BAPCPA) and the Home Affordable Refinance Program (HARP). To do so, I develop a model of housing and default that includes relevant dimensions of credit-market policy and captures rich heterogeneity in household balance sheets. The model also explains the observed cross-state variation in consumer default rates. I find that BAPCPA significantly reduced bankruptcy rates, but increased foreclosure rates when house prices fell. HARP reduced foreclosures by 1 percentage point and provided substantial welfare gains to households with high loan-to-value mortgages. (JEL D14, K35, R31)
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