Demand and Defective Growth Patterns: The Role of The Tradable and Non-Tradable Sectors in an Open Economy
Author(s) -
Sandile Hlatshwayo,
Michael Spence
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
american economic review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 16.936
H-Index - 297
eISSN - 1944-7981
pISSN - 0002-8282
DOI - 10.1257/aer.104.5.272
Subject(s) - economics , aggregate demand , recession , open economy , small open economy , structural change , value (mathematics) , macroeconomics , economy , monetary economics , monetary policy , exchange rate , machine learning , computer science
This paper examines the underlying structural elements of US growth patterns, pre- and post-crisis. Prior to the recession, the US economy exhibited a defective growth pattern driven by outsized domestic demand. As domestic aggregate demand retreats to more sustainable levels relative to total income, the tradable side of the economy is a catalyst for restoring strong growth. A structural rebalancing is already underway; although it is only a third of the economy, the tradable sector generated more than half of gross gains in value-added since the start of the recovery. However, distributional issues loom on the horizon.
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