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PURPOSE   Immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) are increasingly being used in non–small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), yet biomarkers predicting their benefit are lacking. We evaluated if on-treatment changes of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) from ICI start (t 0 ) to after two cycles (t 1 ) assessed with a commercial panel could identify patients with NSCLC who would benefit from ICI.PATIENTS AND METHODS   The molecular ctDNA response was evaluated as a predictor of radiographic tumor response and long-term survival benefit of ICI. To maximize the yield of ctDNA detection, de novo mutation calling was performed. Furthermore, the impact of clonal hematopoiesis (CH)–related variants as a source of biologic noise was investigated.RESULTS   After correction for CH-related variants, which were detected in 75 patients (44.9%), ctDNA was detected in 152 of 167 (91.0%) patients. We observed only a fair agreement of the molecular and radiographic response, which was even more impaired by the inclusion of CH-related variants. After exclusion of those, a ≥ 50% molecular response improved progression-free survival (10 v 2 months; hazard ratio [HR], 0.55; 95% CI, 0.39 to 0.77; P = .0011) and overall survival (18.4 v 5.9 months; HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.31 to 0.62; P &lt; .0001) compared with patients not achieving this end point. After adjusting for clinical variables, ctDNA response and STK11/ KEAP1 mutations (HR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.4 to 3.0; P &lt; .001) remained independent predictors for overall survival, irrespective of programmed death ligand-1 expression. A landmark survival analysis at 2 months (n = 129) provided similar results.CONCLUSION   On-treatment changes of ctDNA in plasma reveal predictive information for long-term clinical benefit in ICI-treated patients with NSCLC. A broader NSCLC patient coverage through de novo mutation calling and the use of a variant call set excluding CH-related variants improved the classification of molecular responders, but had no significant impact on survival.

jco precision oncology

Dynamic Changes of Circulating Tumor DNA Predict Clinical Outcome in Patients With Advanced Non–Small-Cell Lung Cancer Treated With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitors