Prior Sensitivity in Bayesian Structural Equation Modeling for Sparse Factor Loading Structures
Author(s) -
Xinya Liang
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
educational and psychological measurement
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.819
H-Index - 95
eISSN - 1552-3888
pISSN - 0013-1644
DOI - 10.1177/0013164420906449
Subject(s) - prior probability , sensitivity (control systems) , bayesian probability , statistics , population , variance (accounting) , model selection , bayesian inference , shrinkage , mathematics , computer science , engineering , demography , accounting , electronic engineering , sociology , business
Bayesian structural equation modeling (BSEM) is a flexible tool for the exploration and estimation of sparse factor loading structures; that is, most cross-loading entries are zero and only a few important cross-loadings are nonzero. The current investigation was focused on the BSEM with small-variance normal distribution priors (BSEM-N) for both variable selection and model estimation. The prior sensitivity in BSEM-N was explored in factor analysis models with sparse loading structures through a simulation study (Study 1) and an empirical example (Study 2). Study 1 examined the prior sensitivity in BSEM-N based on the model fit, population model recovery, true and false positive rates, and parameter estimation. Seven shrinkage priors on cross-loadings and five noninformative/vague priors on other model parameters were examined. Study 2 provided a real data example to illustrate the impact of various priors on model fit and parameter selection and estimation. Results indicated that when the 95% credible intervals of shrinkage priors barely covered the population cross-loading values, it resulted in the best balance between true and false positives. If the goal is to perform variable selection, a sparse cross-loading structure is required, preferably with a minimal number of nontrivial cross-loadings and relatively high primary loading values. To improve parameter estimates, a relatively large prior variance is preferred. When cross-loadings are relatively large, BSEM-N with zero-mean priors is not recommended for the estimation of cross-loadings and factor correlations.
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