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U.S. Summer Precipitation and Temperature Patterns Following the Peak Phase of El Niño
Author(s) -
Hui Wang,
Arun Kumar,
Wanqiu Wang,
Bhaskar Jha
Publication year - 2012
Publication title -
journal of climate
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 3.315
H-Index - 287
eISSN - 1520-0442
pISSN - 0894-8755
DOI - 10.1175/jcli-d-11-00660.1
Subject(s) - precipitation , climatology , sea surface temperature , environmental science , phase (matter) , amplitude , atmospheric sciences , surface air temperature , la niña , geology , el niño southern oscillation , meteorology , geography , chemistry , physics , quantum mechanics , organic chemistry
Evidence for spatially coherent, but different, U.S. summer precipitation and surface air temperature anomalies during the evolving phase and during the summers following the peak phase of the winter El Niño is presented. The spatial patterns during the decaying phase of El Niño are distinctive from patterns in the preceding summer when El Niño is in its evolving phase, that is, the traditional “simultaneous” composite patterns associated with El Niño. The analysis of a multimodel ensemble of global atmospheric models forced by observed sea surface temperature further confirms that the differences in the U.S. summer precipitation and surface temperature anomalies between the developing and decaying phases of El Niño are a result of the atmospheric response to tropical warm SST anomalies that are shifted eastward and are confined east of 120°W during the decaying phase of El Niño. Given the distinctive pattern, and relatively large amplitude of these anomalies during the decaying phase of El Niño, the results may have implications for the seasonal prediction of U.S. summer precipitation and temperature following winter El Niños.

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