
Are There 10 31 Virus Particles on Earth, or More, or Fewer?
Author(s) -
Arcady Mushegian
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
journal of bacteriology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.652
H-Index - 246
eISSN - 1067-8832
pISSN - 0021-9193
DOI - 10.1128/jb.00052-20
Subject(s) - confusion , biology , virus , virology , psychology , psychoanalysis
The number of virus particles on Earth is frequently reported in the scientific literature and in general-interest publications as being on the order of 10 31 , with some confusion about whether this is a high or low estimate. This number is often given without a source, although it should be attributed to a paper by Hendrix et al. published in 1999 (R. W. Hendrix, M. C. Smith, R. N. Burns, M. E. Ford, and G. F. Hatfull, Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A 96:2192-2197, 1999, https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.96.5.2192). As with any oft-repeated statistic, it is informative to know how it has been derived and whether it should be revised in the light of new evidence. I review the history of the 10 31 estimate and use more recent assessments of the number of bacterial and viral particles in various habitats to conclude that the best estimate of the number of virus particles on Earth ("the Hendrix product") remains close to 10 31 and is unlikely to be either much less or much more than that.