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Public export credit insurance in the Netherlands: An input–output approach
Author(s) -
Berg Marcel,
Van Beveren Ilke,
Lemmers Oscar,
Span Tommy,
Walker Adam N.
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
the world economy
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.594
H-Index - 68
eISSN - 1467-9701
pISSN - 0378-5920
DOI - 10.1111/twec.12824
Subject(s) - additionality , economics , value (mathematics) , destinations , final demand , export credit agency , production (economics) , macroeconomics , public economics , finance , credit risk , tourism , credit card interest , machine learning , computer science , political science , law , credit reference
This study assesses the contribution of the Dutch public export credit insurance facility ( ECIF ) to Dutch GDP and employment. Unlike previous studies concerning export credit insurance, which generally adopt the gravity model of trade, we adopt an input–output approach. The results show that the contribution of economic activity insured by the public ECIF to GDP averages 0.24% annually. This concerns value added generated both by exporters and by their domestic suppliers in the value chain. The contribution to employment shows an average of 0.27%, accumulating to 95,000 jobs ( FTE ) over 5 years. The estimated contribution of the public ECIF to the Dutch economy should be considered an upper boundary of its true contribution. Therefore, we examine the extent to which the above economic gains would be realised if the facility was unavailable using highly disaggregated trade data. The basic idea is that if certain products are only exported to certain destinations with the aid of the public ECIF , then this indicates a high degree of additionality. The inconclusiveness of our results underlines the difficulties in assessing the degree of additionality.