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A New Model for Multivariate Markov Chains
Author(s) -
Nicolau João
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
scandinavian journal of statistics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.359
H-Index - 65
eISSN - 1467-9469
pISSN - 0303-6898
DOI - 10.1111/sjos.12087
Subject(s) - markov chain , multivariate statistics , mathematics , markov model , multivariate probit model , multivariate normal distribution , variable order markov model , econometrics , statistics , multivariate analysis
We propose a new model for multivariate Markov chains of order one or higher on the basis of the mixture transition distribution (MTD) model. We call it the MTD‐Probit. The proposed model presents two attractive features: it is completely free of constraints, thereby facilitating the estimation procedure, and it is more precise at estimating the transition probabilities of a multivariate or higher‐order Markov chain than the standard MTD model.