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Upper Secondary School Completion and the Business Cycle
Author(s) -
Reiling Rune Borgan,
Strøm Bjarne
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
the scandinavian journal of economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.725
H-Index - 64
eISSN - 1467-9442
pISSN - 0347-0520
DOI - 10.1111/sjoe.12088
Subject(s) - norwegian , unemployment , business cycle , economics , secondary education , panel data , demographic economics , compulsory education , labour economics , macroeconomics , psychology , mathematics education , econometrics , economic growth , philosophy , linguistics
Previous evidence suggests that enrollment in post‐compulsory education increases (decreases) in cyclical downturns (upturns). However, little evidence exists on whether enrollment is successfully transformed into completed education. This paper adds to the literature by analyzing the relationship between completion of upper secondary education and regional unemployment using Norwegian regional panel data on students graduating from compulsory school between 1981 and 2004. We find robust evidence that completion rates are countercyclical. Our results suggest that poor labor‐market conditions when starting upper secondary education have a lasting effect and motivate students to stay in school and graduate.