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Optimal Retirement with Increasing Longevity
Author(s) -
Bloom David E.,
Canning David,
Moore Michael
Publication year - 2014
Publication title -
the scandinavian journal of economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.725
H-Index - 64
eISSN - 1467-9442
pISSN - 0347-0520
DOI - 10.1111/sjoe.12060
Subject(s) - life expectancy , economics , longevity , wage , wage growth , retirement age , labour economics , overlapping generations model , demographic economics , finance , demography , medicine , pension , gerontology , population , sociology
We develop an optimizing life‐cycle model of retirement with perfect capital markets. We show that longer healthy life expectancy usually leads to later retirement, but with an elasticity less than unity. We calibrate our model using data from the US and find that, over the last century, the effect of rising incomes, which promote early retirement, has dominated the effect of rising lifespans. Our model predicts continuing declines in the optimal retirement age, despite rising life expectancy, provided the rate of real wage growth remains as high as in the last century.