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Retail credit scoring using fine‐grained payment data
Author(s) -
Tobback Ellen,
Martens David
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
journal of the royal statistical society: series a (statistics in society)
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.103
H-Index - 84
eISSN - 1467-985X
pISSN - 0964-1998
DOI - 10.1111/rssa.12469
Subject(s) - payment , leverage (statistics) , computer science , scalability , credit card , big data , payment card , data set , working capital , payment service provider , computation , business , finance , database , data mining , world wide web , machine learning , artificial intelligence , algorithm
Summary Banks are continuously looking for novel ways to leverage their existing data assets. A major source of data that has not yet been used to the full extent is massive fine‐grained payment data on the bank's customers. In the paper, a design is proposed that builds predictive credit scoring models by using the fine‐grained payment data. Using a real life data set of 183 million transactions made by 2.6 million customers, we show that the scalable implementation that is put forward leads to a significant improvement in the receiver operating characteristic area under the curve, with only seconds of computation needed. When investigating the 1% riskiest customers, twice as many defaulters are detected when using the payment data. Such an improvement has a big effect on the overall working of the bank, from applicant scoring to minimum capital requirements.