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Smoothing mortality data: the English Life Tables , 2010–2012
Author(s) -
Dodd Erengul,
Forster Jonathan J.,
Bijak Jakub,
Smith Peter W. F.
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
journal of the royal statistical society: series a (statistics in society)
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.103
H-Index - 84
eISSN - 1467-985X
pISSN - 0964-1998
DOI - 10.1111/rssa.12309
Subject(s) - bayesian probability , statistics , parametric statistics , table (database) , mathematics , smoothing , graduation (instrument) , econometrics , computer science , data mining , geometry
Summary We describe the most recent statistical methodology used to produce the 17th English Life Table , covering the period 2010–2012. Crude mortality rates are smoothed, or graduated, by using a combination of a generalized additive model and low dimensional parametric models. The approach to graduation acknowledges uncertainty, particularly in the highest age groups, by model averaging, using a simplified version of a full Bayesian analysis.