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Police and thieves in the stadium: measuring the (multiple) effects of football matches on crime
Author(s) -
Marie Olivier
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
journal of the royal statistical society: series a (statistics in society)
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.103
H-Index - 84
eISSN - 1467-985X
pISSN - 0964-1998
DOI - 10.1111/rssa.12113
Subject(s) - football , stadium , property crime , attendance , displacement (psychology) , criminology , college football , exploit , violent crime , advertising , computer security , psychology , demographic economics , political science , business , law , computer science , mathematics , economics , geometry , psychotherapist
Summary Large sporting events affect criminal behaviour via three channels: fan concentration, self‐incapacitation and police displacement. I exploit information on football matches for London teams linked to detailed recorded crime data at the area level to estimate these effects empirically. I find that only property crime increases in the communities hosting matches but not violent offences. There is a negative away game attendance effect on crime which is due to voluntary incapacitation of potential offenders attending a match. Police displacement during home games increases property crime by 7 percentage points for every extra 10000 supporters in areas that are left underprotected.