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Shifting Taxes from Labor to Consumption: More Employment and more Inequality?
Author(s) -
Pestel Nico,
Sommer Eric
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
review of income and wealth
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.024
H-Index - 57
eISSN - 1475-4991
pISSN - 0034-6586
DOI - 10.1111/roiw.12232
Subject(s) - economics , labour economics , consumption (sociology) , income distribution , payroll , labour supply , incentive , microsimulation , consumption tax , inequality , indirect tax , tax reform , microeconomics , public economics , mathematical analysis , social science , mathematics , accounting , sociology , transport engineering , engineering
This paper investigates the effect of shifting taxes from labor income to consumption on labor supply and the distribution of income in Germany. We simulate stepwise increases in the value‐added tax (VAT) rate, which are compensated by revenue‐neutral reductions in income‐related taxes. We differentiate between the personal income tax (PIT) and social security contributions (SSC). Based on a dual data base and a microsimulation model of household labor supply behavior, we find a regressive impact of such a tax shift in the short run. When accounting for labor supply adjustments, the adverse distributional impact persists for PIT reductions, while the overall effects on inequality and progressivity become lower when payroll taxes are reduced. This is partly due to increases in aggregate labor supply, resulting from higher work incentives.