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Macroeconomic instability and targeting rules for monetary policy in an endogenously growing small open economy
Author(s) -
Chen Kuanjen,
Lai Chingchong,
Lai Tingwei
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
review of international economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.513
H-Index - 58
eISSN - 1467-9396
pISSN - 0965-7576
DOI - 10.1111/roie.12514
Subject(s) - economics , monetary policy , externality , monetary economics , small open economy , inflation (cosmology) , assertion , inflation targeting , macroeconomics , keynesian economics , microeconomics , programming language , physics , theoretical physics , computer science
By using the feature that money can lower unit transaction costs, this paper develops a monetary endogenous growth model for a one‐sector small open economy, and uses it to examine the possibility of the occurrence of belief‐driven fluctuations. It is found that the emergence of belief‐driven fluctuations is crucially related to targeting rules for monetary policy. More specifically, when the monetary authorities target the specific money growth rate, macroeconomic instability generated by belief‐driven fluctuations can arise even if labor externalities are totally absent. This finding runs in sharp contrast to the Benhabib–Farmer assertion needed for the occurrence of belief‐driven fluctuations. It is also found that, when the monetary authorities target the specific inflation rate, macroeconomic instability generated by belief‐driven fluctuations can never prevail regardless of the extent of the unit transaction costs.