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The asymmetric impact of oil prices on remittances: evidence from India
Author(s) -
Akçay Selçuk,
Karasoy Alper
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
opec energy review
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
eISSN - 1753-0237
pISSN - 1753-0229
DOI - 10.1111/opec.12162
Subject(s) - remittance , economics , distributed lag , short run , oil price , monetary economics , exchange rate , context (archaeology) , per capita , econometrics , geography , population , demography , archaeology , sociology , economic growth
Remittances make up a sizeable part of the Indian economy. Using recently advanced non‐linear autoregressive distributed lag (NARDL) model (Shin et al, 2014), this study aims to address the asymmetric impact of oil prices on international remittances over the period 1975–2017, in the context of India. The results reveal that: (i) changes in oil prices and remittances are asymmetrically associated in both short and long run; (ii) remittances react differently to changes in oil prices: while positive movements in oil prices lead to an increase in remittances, negative movements lower remittances; (iii) compared to positive oil price shocks, negative shocks have more profound impact on remittances in the long run; (iv) exchange rate has an asymmetric effect on remittances only in the short run; (v) financial development has negative influence on remittance inflows in the long run; and (vi) GDP per capita does not have any significant impact on remittance inflows in the long run, whereas it negatively affects remittances to India in the short run.

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