At what scales does aggregated dispersal lead to coexistence?

Aggregation during dispersal can allow persistence of weak competitors, by creating conditions where stronger competitors are more likely to interact with conspecifics than with heterospecifics. However, aggregation mechanisms operate over a wide range of spatial scales, and species experience space in very different ways. The net effect of dispersal aggregation on coexistence will depend on how these scales interact. We show that it is possible to approximate the effects of aggregated dispersal on coexistence by considering three empirically measurable parameters: the spatial scale of interaction (how strongly competition drops off with distance), the spatial scale of aggregation (how large propagule packets are), and the temporal scale of aggregation (how frequently packets arrive). We use a novel metacommunity moment closure based on this approximation and stochastic simulations to show that aggregated dispersal allows for coexistence only when the stronger competitor is both aggregated and interacts at the same or a smaller spatial scale than the weaker competitor. When species interact and are aggregated at the same scales, coexistence outcomes are only weakly sensitive to the absolute scales of interaction and aggregation, as long as the scale of interaction is smaller than the scale of aggregation. However, coexistence is sensitive to the time‐scale of aggregation: increasing the frequency of packet arrival substantially reduces the region of fitness inequalities where both species persist. Finally, coexistence is less likely and global extinction of both competitors is more frequent when aggregation is fixed (with a constant number of propagules per packet), compared to density‐dependent (number of propagules increases with adult density).