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Low transferrin and high ferritin concentrations are associated with worse outcome in acute liver failure
Author(s) -
Anastasiou Olympia E.,
Kälsch Julia,
Hakmouni Mahdi,
Kucukoglu Ozlem,
Heider Dominik,
Korth Johannes,
Manka Paul,
Sowa JanPeter,
Bechmann Lars,
Saner Fuat H.,
Paul Andreas,
Gerken Guido,
Baba Hideo A.,
Canbay Ali
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
liver international
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.873
H-Index - 110
eISSN - 1478-3231
pISSN - 1478-3223
DOI - 10.1111/liv.13369
Subject(s) - ferritin , transferrin , gastroenterology , medicine , liver transplantation , area under the curve , serum ferritin , iron status , inflammation , transplantation , iron deficiency , anemia
Background & Aims Serum ferritin and transferrin have been identified as prognostic markers in patients with chronic diseases. In this study, we investigated if these parameters can predict outcome in patients with acute liver failure. Methods A total of 102 consecutive patients with acute liver failure were retrospectively analysed. The patients were grouped by outcome: spontaneous recovery vs liver transplantation and/or death or survival vs death. Routine laboratory parameters, transferrin and ferritin concentrations in serum, and anthropomorphic data collected on admission were analysed. Results Non‐spontaneously recovering patients had higher ferritin (12 252±25 791 vs 4434.4±9027.2 μg/L; P <.05) and lower transferrin levels (140.4±66.7 vs 206.9±65.8 mg/dL; P <.05) than spontaneously recovering patients. Similarly non‐survivors exhibited higher serum ferritin and lower transferrin than non‐transplanted survivors. Patients with severe hepatic inflammation (A3) had higher ferritin levels compared to patients with mild‐moderate inflammation (A1‐2) (5280±5094 vs 2361±2737 μg/L; P =.025). ROC analysis of single parameters was performed in non‐transplanted patients, resulting in an area under the curve, sensitivity and specificity of 0.812%, 83.3%, and 77.1% for age, 0.871%, 84.1% and 75% for transferrin and 0.802%, 91.7% and 62.9% for ferritin. A model incorporating age, MELD and transferrin had the best predictive value with an area under the curve of 0.947, a sensitivity of 100% and corresponding specificity of 77.8%. Conclusions High ferritin and low transferrin levels are associated with worse outcome in patients with acute liver failure. A model incorporating age, MELD score and transferrin outperformed MELD score for 90‐day overall survival of non‐transplanted patients.