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Box‐Office Demand: The Importance of Being #1
Author(s) -
Cabral Luís,
Natividad Gabriel
Publication year - 2016
Publication title -
the journal of industrial economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.93
H-Index - 77
eISSN - 1467-6451
pISSN - 0022-1821
DOI - 10.1111/joie.12095
Subject(s) - box office , shock (circulatory) , channel (broadcasting) , advertising , test (biology) , on demand , business , economics , computer science , telecommunications , commerce , medicine , paleontology , biology
We propose a theoretical framework to understand the effect on a movie's eventual theatrical success of leading the box office during the opening weekend. We consider two possible channels: a positive shock to the utility from watching the movie and a greater awareness of the movie's existence. We derive a series of testable predictions, which we test on U.S. box office data. The results suggest that being #1 in sales during the opening weekend has an economically and statistically significant effect on the movie's total demand; and that the primary channel for this effect is through the greater awareness induced by being #1.