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Entry, Trade, and Exporting over the Cycle
Author(s) -
ALESSANDRIA GEORGE,
CHOI HORAG
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
journal of money, credit and banking
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.763
H-Index - 108
eISSN - 1538-4616
pISSN - 0022-2879
DOI - 10.1111/jmcb.12669
Subject(s) - margin (machine learning) , stock (firearms) , productivity , economics , international economics , shock (circulatory) , international trade , monetary economics , general equilibrium theory , business , macroeconomics , engineering , mechanical engineering , medicine , machine learning , computer science
We study how international trade and exporting affect the cyclicality of establishment creation. We build a general equilibrium model with two features: (i) new establishments start small and grow gradually and (ii) exporters are persistently bigger and more productive than nonexporters. When establishments creation costs fluctuate with aggregate productivity, the model generates procyclical fluctuations in domestic establishments and importers. Without international trade, entry is weakly countercyclical and too smooth. The model generates reasonable fluctuations in the stock of importers, exporters, and domestic establishments. With an entry margin, output is hump‐shaped following a productivity shock and this hump is stronger with trade.