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Countercyclical Policy and the Speed of Recovery after Recessions
Author(s) -
FRANCIS NEVILLE,
JACKSON LAURA E.,
OWYANG MICHAEL T.
Publication year - 2018
Publication title -
journal of money, credit and banking
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.763
H-Index - 108
eISSN - 1538-4616
pISSN - 0022-2879
DOI - 10.1111/jmcb.12477
Subject(s) - recession , economics , monetary economics , economic recovery , monetary policy , state (computer science) , keynesian economics , computer science , algorithm
We consider policies intended to accelerate recoveries by analyzing the duration of recoveries of U.S. states. Studying multiple recessions for a state and multiple states for a recession controls for differences in the economic conditions and the causes of recessions. Expansionary monetary policy at the national level helps to stimulate the exit of individual states from recession. Exogenous measures of decreases in taxes or targeted increases in federal spending reduce state recovery times, while ambient economic conditions (other states in the same region suffering from recession, the length of the preceding recession, and increases in oil prices) extend recovery times.