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Self‐Reported Function More Informative than Frailty Phenotype in Predicting Adverse Postoperative Course in Older Adults
Author(s) -
Kapoor Alok,
Matheos Theofilos,
Walz Matthias,
McDonough Christine,
Maheswaran Abiramy,
Ruppell Evan,
Mohamud Deeqo,
Shaffer Nicholas,
Zhou Yanhua,
Kaur Shubjeet,
Heard Stephen,
Crawford Sybil,
Cabral Howard,
White Daniel K.,
Santry Heena,
Jette Alan,
Fielding Roger,
Silliman Rebecca A.,
Gurwitz Jerry
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
journal of the american geriatrics society
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.992
H-Index - 232
eISSN - 1532-5415
pISSN - 0002-8614
DOI - 10.1111/jgs.15108
Subject(s) - medicine , calculator , adverse effect , complication , statistic , confidence interval , cohort , physical therapy , emergency medicine , surgery , statistics , mathematics , computer science , operating system
Background/Objective Current preoperative assessment tools such as the American College of Surgeons Surgical Risk Calculator ( ACS Calculator) are suboptimal for evaluating older adults. The objective was to evaluate and compare the performance of the ACS Calculator for predicting risk of serious postoperative complications with the addition of self‐reported physical function versus a frailty score. Design Prospective cohort. Setting Two tertiary care academic medical centers in Massachusetts. Participants Individuals aged 65 and older undergoing any surgery with a risk of serious complication of 5% or greater (N = 403). Measurements We measured self‐reported physical function using the Late‐Life Function and Disability Instrument ( LLFDI FUNCTION ) and frailty phenotype ( FP ), which has a score ranging from 0 to 5 based on slow gait speed, weak handgrip, exhaustion, weight loss, or low activity. Using c‐statistic and net classification improvement (NRI), we then analyzed capability of LLFDI‐FUNCTION versus FP to improve the ACS Calculator for predicting an adverse postoperative course (serious complication, discharge to nursing home, readmission, death within 30 days of surgery). Increase in c‐statistic and net reclassification improvement ( NRI ) for LLFDI ‐ FUNCTION versus FP in addition to the ACS Calculator for predicting an adverse postoperative course (serious complication, discharge to nursing home, readmission, death within 30 days of surgery) Results Over 30 days, 26% of participants developed an adverse postoperative course. The increase in c‐statistic for the ACS Calculator (baseline value 0.645) was slightly greater with LLFDI ‐ FUNCTION (0.076) than with FP (0.058), with a bootstrapped difference in c‐statistic of 0.005 (95% confidence interval = 0.002–0.007). NRI was also better with LLFDI ‐ FUNCTION . Conclusion The LLFDI ‐ FUNCTION predicted postoperative complications slightly better than the FP . Further studies are needed to confirm these findings and validate the use of the LLFDI ‐ FUNCTION with the ACS Calculator for preoperative assessments of older adults.