Open AccessImpact of hurricane Harvey on the results of regional flood frequency analysis
Author(s) -
McDonald Walter M.,
Naughton Joseph B.
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
journal of flood risk management
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.049
H-Index - 36
ISSN - 1753-318X
DOI - 10.1111/jfr3.12500
Subject(s) - flood myth , culvert , levee , 100 year flood , hydrology (agriculture) , floodplain , environmental science , flooding (psychology) , geology , geography , geotechnical engineering , archaeology , cartography , psychology , psychotherapist
Hurricane Harvey was an unprecedented event that resulted in immense damage to life and property. As a result, it is important to determine how this event, as well as past and future events like it, will impact engineering design equations that are based upon historical data, such as flood frequency analysis equations. This study seeks to contribute to this discussion by evaluating the extent to which Harvey influenced estimations of instantaneous peak discharges in rural ungauged basins in southeast Texas. Results indicate that Harvey significantly increased the computations of design floods using Log‐Pearson Type III analysis (e.g., 3–55% for 2‐year flood and 3–80% for the 100‐year flood). This subsequently impacted the estimation of instantaneous peak discharges through regional flood frequency analysis by up to 28%. These results highlight the influence that recent and future hurricanes can have on engineering design equations that are used for managing floodplains, assessing flood risk, and designing infrastructure such as levees, bridges, and culverts.