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Evidential Proximity, Independence, and the evaluation of carcinogenicity
Author(s) -
Williamson Jon
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
journal of evaluation in clinical practice
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.737
H-Index - 73
eISSN - 1365-2753
pISSN - 1356-1294
DOI - 10.1111/jep.13226
Subject(s) - international agency , independence (probability theory) , preamble , agency (philosophy) , risk analysis (engineering) , dependency (uml) , computer science , epistemology , management science , medicine , cancer , artificial intelligence , engineering , mathematics , philosophy , statistics , computer network , channel (broadcasting)
This paper analyses the methods of the International Agency for Research on Cancer (IARC) for evaluating the carcinogenicity of various agents. I identify two fundamental evidential principles that underpin these methods, which I call Evidential Proximity and Independence. I then show, by considering the 2018 evaluation of the carcinogenicity of styrene and styrene‐7,8‐oxide, that these principles have been implemented in a way that can lead to inconsistency. I suggest a way to resolve this problem: admit a general exception to Independence and treat the implementation of Evidential Proximity more flexibly where this exception applies. I show that this suggestion is compatible with the general principles laid down in the 2019 version of IARC's methods guide, its Preamble to the Monographs .