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PREDICTION OF FAILURE AT UNIVERSITY—OR FAILURE OF PREDICTION?
Author(s) -
NISBET J. D.,
WELSH JENNIFER
Publication year - 1976
Publication title -
british journal of educational psychology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.557
H-Index - 95
eISSN - 2044-8279
pISSN - 0007-0998
DOI - 10.1111/j.2044-8279.1976.tb02323.x
Subject(s) - psychology , predictive value , session (web analytics) , mathematics education , medicine , computer science , world wide web
S ummary . The validity of a procedure for identifying students at risk of failure on the basis of first term examination results was checked by following up 188 students at risk, from a total of 1902 in Aberdeen University Arts Faculty in session 1974–5. 76 per cent of the students at risk recovered successfully, and 40 per cent of failing students were missed by the procedure. Comparison of students who fail and those who recover, and of failing students identified as at risk and those not identified, and other attempts to find a means of improving the early warning system, were unproductive. The value of the system may lie not in prediction but in demonstrating awareness and concern.