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THE EFFECTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON STREAM FLOW AND NUTRIENT LOADING 1
Author(s) -
Chang Heejun,
Evans Barry M.,
Easterling David R.
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
jawra journal of the american water resources association
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.957
H-Index - 105
eISSN - 1752-1688
pISSN - 1093-474X
DOI - 10.1111/j.1752-1688.2001.tb05526.x
Subject(s) - environmental science , watershed , snowmelt , hydrology (agriculture) , nutrient , evapotranspiration , climate change , streamflow , representative concentration pathways , drainage basin , surface runoff , climate model , ecology , geography , geology , geotechnical engineering , cartography , machine learning , computer science , biology
ABSTRACT: This study assesses the potential impact of climate change on stream flow and nutrient loading in six watersheds of the Susquehanna River Basin using the Generalized Watershed Loading Function (GWLF). The model was used to simulate changes in stream flow and nutrient loads under a transient climate change scenario for each watershed. Under an assumption of no change in land cover and land management, the model was used to predict monthly changes in stream flow and nutrient loads for future climate conditions. Mean annual stream flow and nutrient loads increased for most watersheds, but decreased in one watershed that was intensively cultivated. Nutrient loading slightly decreased in April and late summer for several watersheds as a result of early snowmelt and increasing evapotranspiration. Spatial and temporal variability of stream flow and nutrient loads under the transient climate scenario indicates that different approaches for future water resource management may be useful.