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SIMULATION AND DECISIONMAKING: THE PLATTE RIVER BASIN IN NEBRASKA 1
Author(s) -
Gilliland Martha W.,
Becker Lee,
Cady Ralph,
Gabig Joe,
Gilley James,
Kern Richard A.,
Larson Arley,
Nguyen Quang M.,
Powers William,
Supalla Raymond
Publication year - 1985
Publication title -
jawra journal of the american water resources association
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.957
H-Index - 105
eISSN - 1752-1688
pISSN - 1093-474X
DOI - 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1985.tb00138.x
Subject(s) - wildlife , environmental science , agriculture , groundwater , drainage basin , streamflow , irrigation , water resource management , hydrology (agriculture) , habitat , water resources , water quality , environmental resource management , geography , ecology , engineering , geotechnical engineering , cartography , archaeology , biology
Substantial conflict exists over water management and allocation in the Platte River Basin of Nebraska. An interdisciplinary computer simulation model, representing the water quantity, water quality, environmental, and economic dimensions of the conflict, was developed in order to analyze the tradeoffs among allocation scenarios. Most importantly, decisionmakers and interest groups were involved in model development. Simulation results for a base case and two scenarios are presented. One scenario favors protection of instream flow for wildlife; the other favors water diversions for agriculture. Impacts of the instream flow scenario, as measured by the amount of land irrigated, groundwater levels, the amount of wildlife habitat for cranes and catfish, and net agricultural benefits did not differ greatly from those of the base case. However, impacts of the diversion scenario were substantial. On the negative side, instream flows and wildlife habitat declined an average of 39 percent; while, on the positive side, groundwater levels and net agricultural benefits each increased 6 percent. The modeling process was successful insofar as it promoted an understanding among the highly diverse interest groups of the systems nature of the Basin. One agreement on a water diversion schedule among three of the parties has been reached, partly as a result of this process. More comprehensive compromises have not yet been forged. Our experience, however, indicates that modeling success at the policymaking level depends more on the extent to which the policymakers understand the model than it does on model sophistication.