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AN OBJECTIVE METHOD OF THUNDERSTORM FORECASTING FOR WASHINGTON NATIONAL AIRPORT, WASHINGTON, D.C. 1
Author(s) -
Dudley Bowman II Harold,
Shulman Mark D.,
Romboski Lawrence D.,
Chilko Daniel M.
Publication year - 1969
Publication title -
jawra journal of the american water resources association
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.957
H-Index - 105
eISSN - 1752-1688
pISSN - 1093-474X
DOI - 10.1111/j.1752-1688.1969.tb04921.x
Subject(s) - thunderstorm , linear discriminant analysis , meteorology , statistics , mathematics , econometrics , environmental science , geography
The literature was reviewed in order to determine the variables likely to be important in forecasting thunderstorms. A stepwise discriminant analysis was performed on these variables to determine those significantly related to thunderstorm occurrence. Eight variables were selected. These were then used to produce a forecasting equation by means of the linear discriminant analysis technique. This equation was then tested against the Showalter and Total Totals indexes for forecasting skill, and was found to have higher skill.