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Sources and Implications of Uncertainty for Coastal Managers
Author(s) -
Hall J. W.,
Davis J. P.
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
water and environment journal
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.437
H-Index - 37
eISSN - 1747-6593
pISSN - 1747-6585
DOI - 10.1111/j.1747-6593.2001.tb00314.x
Subject(s) - grounded theory , externality , key (lock) , position (finance) , natural (archaeology) , management science , coastal management , environmental resource management , operations research , business , computer science , sociology , qualitative research , economics , engineering , microeconomics , geography , social science , computer security , archaeology , finance
This study included semi‐structured interviews with eight practitioners who have key roles in UK coastal management. Data from the interviews were analysed using ‘grounded theory’, which established that sources of uncertainty in decision making are diverse but can be categorised as being modelling issues, values issues, communication and ‘externalities’. At present, intuitive and implicit methods of taking uncertainty into account in decision making are much more prevalent than explicit methods. By identifying sources and implications of uncertainty, coastal managers will be in a stronger position to promote resilient systems that can cope with changing natural and social conditions.