Premium
A LONGITUDINAL PERSPECTIVE ON PATTERNS OF CRIME
Author(s) -
McCORD JOAN
Publication year - 1981
Publication title -
criminology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 3.467
H-Index - 139
eISSN - 1745-9125
pISSN - 0011-1384
DOI - 10.1111/j.1745-9125.1981.tb00412.x
Subject(s) - criminal justice , discriminant function analysis , identification (biology) , psychology , recidivism , juvenile delinquency , criminology , longitudinal study , perspective (graphical) , medicine , computer science , artificial intelligence , statistics , mathematics , botany , pathology , biology
This article addresses the possibility of prospectively identfying chronic criminal offenders using identifiers available to the criminal justice system. Data were collected as part of a longitudinal study of the lives of men who were in a delinquency prevention program in the early 1940s. For the half who were randomly assigned to the treatment group, a discriminant function correctly identified 67% of the men as recidivists or nonrecidivists. When tested on the control group, it correctly sorted 76% of the men. The author argues that although prospective identification of recidivists may be possible, legal action based on predictions would be wrong.