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Participation, Trip Frequency and Site Choice: A Multinomial‐Poisson Hurdle Model of Recreation Demand
Author(s) -
Yen Steven T.,
Adamowicz Wiktor L.
Publication year - 1994
Publication title -
canadian journal of agricultural economics/revue canadienne d'agroeconomie
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.505
H-Index - 37
eISSN - 1744-7976
pISSN - 0008-3976
DOI - 10.1111/j.1744-7976.1994.tb00006.x
Subject(s) - recreation , poisson distribution , poisson regression , econometrics , count data , multinomial distribution , variance (accounting) , geography , statistics , economics , mathematics , ecology , population , demography , sociology , accounting , biology
Data used in recreation demand modeling are characterized by the facts that trip frequencies are non‐negative integers and that consumers are often faced with alternative destinations. This paper considers these features by estimating a multivariate recreation demand model that accounts for trip frequency and choice among alternative recreation sites using a mixed multinomial‐Poisson hurdle distribution. The specification of the Poisson hurdle distribution at the aggregate level accounts for participation and trip frequency, and avoids the restrictive mean‐variance property of the basic Poisson model. The model is estimated using data from Bighorn sheep hunters in Alberta, Canada. Simulation results suggest that changing price and quality variables cause substitution among sites. The welfare implications of changes in these variables are also examined.