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The probability of using an aged care home over a lifetime (1999–00)
Author(s) -
Rowland Frieda,
Liu Zhibin,
Braun Peter
Publication year - 2002
Publication title -
australasian journal on ageing
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.63
H-Index - 34
eISSN - 1741-6612
pISSN - 1440-6381
DOI - 10.1111/j.1741-6612.2002.tb00431.x
Subject(s) - aged care , medicine , gerontology , residential care , older people , demography , sociology
Objective: This paper aims to project the probability of using an aged care home over a lifetime for Australian men and women at various ages. Method: This paper applies life table models [1] to 1999–00 residential aged care data to estimate the probability of using an aged care home over a lifetime. Results: Women are more likely than men to enter an aged care home for permanent care over their lifetime. Based on current patterns of use of aged care homes, a woman at age 65 faces a probability as high as 0.46 of using an aged care home for permanent care before her death compared with 0.28 for a man at the same age. Conclusion: A much larger proportion of older people than has often been recognised are likely to be admitted to an aged care home at some point in their lives.