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All I want for Christmas is…Rigorous validation of predictive models to prevent hasty generalisations
Author(s) -
Mateen Bilal,
Sonabend Raphael
Publication year - 2019
Publication title -
significance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.123
H-Index - 21
eISSN - 1740-9713
pISSN - 1740-9705
DOI - 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2019.01336.x
Subject(s) - ridiculous , plan (archaeology) , computer science , artificial intelligence , mathematical economics , operations research , philosophy , history , mathematics , epistemology , archaeology
Bilal Mateen and Raphael Sonabend are searching for Santa Claus, armed only with a statistical model to predict ear size based on age. The plan sounds ridiculous, but there's a serious lesson here about the limits of predictive models