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Forecast error: The UK general election
Author(s) -
Hill Timothy Martyn
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
significance
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.123
H-Index - 21
eISSN - 1740-9713
pISSN - 1740-9705
DOI - 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2015.00823.x
Subject(s) - parliament , general election , political science , operations research , computer science , law and economics , mathematical economics , law , economics , mathematics , politics
Pollsters expected a hung parliament, but UK voters instead returned a small Conservative majority. Timothy Martyn Hill reviews the predictions – and the errors – that were made