Premium
A predictable outcome
Author(s) -
Baio Gianluca,
Cerina Roberto
Publication year - 2015
Publication title -
significance
Language(s) - Uncategorized
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.123
H-Index - 21
eISSN - 1740-9713
pISSN - 1740-9705
DOI - 10.1111/j.1740-9713.2015.00810.x
Subject(s) - outcome (game theory) , bayesian probability , econometrics , computer science , operations research , economics , mathematical economics , artificial intelligence , mathematics
Gianluca Baio and Roberto Cerina used a modified version of a dynamic Bayesian forecasting model to “predict” the 2014 US Senate elections. The results bode well for the 2016 vote